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PRMIA 8007 Exam Syllabus Topics:

SectionObjectives
Topic 1: Calculus- Differential and Integral Calculus
  • 1. Integration
  • 2. Differentiation
  • 3. Functions and Limits
  • 4. Multivariable Calculus
Topic 2: Statistical Analysis- Descriptive and Inferential Statistics
  • 1. Maximum Likelihood Estimation
  • 2. Confidence Intervals
  • 3. Moments and Distributions
  • 4. Hypothesis Testing
Topic 3: Probability Theory- Fundamental Probability Concepts
  • 1. Probability Rules
  • 2. Bayes' Theorem
  • 3. Random Variables
  • 4. Conditional Probability
Topic 4: Numerical Methods- Quantitative Techniques
  • 1. Simulation Techniques
  • 2. Numerical Approximation
  • 3. Monte Carlo Methods
  • 4. Optimization Methods
Topic 5: Linear Algebra- Matrix Methods
  • 1. Covariance Matrices
  • 2. Eigenvalues and Eigenvectors
  • 3. Positive Definiteness
  • 4. Matrix Operations
Topic 6: Risk Measurement Applications- Quantitative Risk Analysis
  • 1. Sensitivity Analysis
  • 2. Volatility Modeling
  • 3. Value at Risk Methodologies
  • 4. Portfolio Risk Measurement
Topic 7: Regression and Time Series Analysis- Modeling Techniques
  • 1. Linear Regression
  • 2. Model Diagnostics
  • 3. Multivariate Regression
  • 4. Time Series Forecasting

PRMIA Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement - 2015 Edition Sample Questions:

1. In statistical hypothesis tests, 'Type I error' refers to the situation in which...

A) The null hypothesis is accepted when in fact it should have been rejected
B) Both null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis are accepted
C) Both null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis are rejected
D) The null hypothesis is rejected when in fact it should have been accepted


2. Suppose a discrete random variable can take on the values -1, 0 and 1 each with a probability of 1/3. Then the mean and variance of the variable is

A) mean is 0, variance is 1/3
B) mean is 0, variance is 1/2
C) mean is 0, variance is 2/3
D) mean is 1/3, variance is 1/3


3. At what point x does the function f(x) = x3 - 4x2 + 1 have a local minimum?

A) -0.666666667
B) 2.66667
C) 2
D) 0


4. In a portfolio there are 7 bonds: 2 AAA Corporate bonds, 2 AAA Agency bonds, 1 AA Corporate and 2 AA Agency bonds. By an unexplained characteristic the probability of any specific AAA bond outperforming the others is twice the probability of any specific AA bond outperforming the others. What is the probability that an AA bond or a Corporate bond outperforms all of the others?

A) 6/11
B) None of these
C) 8/11
D) 5/7


5. Let X be a random variable normally distributed with zero mean and let . Then the correlation between X and Y is:

A) zero
B) negative
C) not defined
D) positive


Solutions:

Question # 1
Answer: D
Question # 2
Answer: C
Question # 3
Answer: B
Question # 4
Answer: B
Question # 5
Answer: A

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